How can erupting conflicts in countries such as South Sudan, Syria and Iran affect the availability of electricity? How does the timeline of conflicts in war-prone countries cascade into bigger disruptions?

New Johns Hopkins research just published in Nature Energy this week created a new framework to take a better-informed, realistic stab at these questions. While other planning models account for effects on only one technology or analyzed only a single conflict effect, this current model takes a holistic approach and is multi-step, accounting for domino effects and more uncertainty that is more reflective of how conflicts actually play out.

Evangelia (Elina) Spyrou, first author of the paper and graduate student in the Johns Hopkins University Department of Environmental Health and Engineering, is available for interviews.