Newswise — Amanda Murdie and Sam Bell, assistant professors of political science at Kansas State University, can discuss what is igniting political unrest in countries such as Egypt, Tunisia and Sudan, the "boomerang" effects it has on other nations, and which countries will likely experience political unrest during the next five years.
Murdie and Bell recently created a comprehensive computer model that predicts hotspots for political unrest around the world. So far the model has successfully predicted Egypt, Sudan, Tunisia, Peru, Ireland, Ecuador and Italy. Some of the other 37 countries on the list include Iran, Israel, China, Mexico and Belgium. The model accounts for human rights crackdowns, social media and cell phone use, and how a country projects itself throughout its territory. More about the model and these three forecast concepts can be read at http://www.k-state.edu/media/newsreleases/jan11/politicalviolence11911.html
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